[1]秦鹏,黄浩辉.影响广东沿海的热带气旋最大强度估算[J].气象研究与应用,2015,36(01):1-5.
　Qin Peng,Huang Hao-hui.Estimation on Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Affecting Guangdong Coast[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2015,36(01):1-5.
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影响广东沿海的热带气旋最大强度估算()
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气象研究与应用[ISSN:1673-8411/CN:45-1356/P]

卷:
第36卷
期数:
2015年01期
页码:
1-5
栏目:
天气气候
出版日期:
2015-12-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Estimation on Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Affecting Guangdong Coast
作者:
秦鹏;  黄浩辉
广东省气候中心, 广州 510080
Author(s):
Qin Peng;  Huang Hao-hui
Guangdong Climate Center, Guangzhou 510080
关键词:
广东沿海; 热带气旋; 最大强度
Keywords:
Guangdong coast; tropical cyclone; maximum intensity
分类号:
P457.8
摘要:
利用广东省沿海阳江、汕头气象探空站1980~2012年的观测资料,采用基于动力气象学原理的方法,估算影响广东沿海的热带气旋的海面可能最低中心气压为866.3hPa,热带气旋中心附近海面可能最大风速为80.2m·s-1,进一步估算热带气旋登陆广东沿海时近地面可能最大10min平均风速为60.1m·s-1,同时利用1949~2012年热带气旋资料对估算结果进行了合理性分析。
Abstract:
Based on the observational data from 1980-2012 in Yangjiang and Shantou Meteorological radiosonde station at Guangdong coast, by using the methods according to the principle of dynamical meteorology, the estimated possible minimum central air pressure of sea surface of Guangdong coast affected by tropical cyclones is 866.3 hPa, the possible maximum wind speed near the center of tropical cyclone is 80.2 m·s-1, on the basis of further estimation, the possible maximum 10min average wind speed near the ground is 60.1 m·s-1 when tropical cyclones landing Guangdong coast, and the reasonable estimating results were analyzed by using the tropical cyclone observational data during 1949-2012.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2014-11-25。
作者简介:秦鹏(1981-),男,辽宁建平人,高工,主要从事气候可行性论证和应用气象研究工作。
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01