[1]覃卫坚,李耀先,陈思蓉.同期MJO对广西汛期强降水过程的影响[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(04):18-21.
 Qin Weijian,Li Yaoxian,Chen Sirong.The influence of Madden-Julian Oscillation on the heavy rainfall process during flood season in Guangxi[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(04):18-21.
点击复制

同期MJO对广西汛期强降水过程的影响()
分享到:

气象研究与应用[ISSN:1673-8411/CN:45-1356/P]

卷:
第38卷
期数:
2017年04期
页码:
18-21
栏目:
天气气候
出版日期:
2017-12-29

文章信息/Info

Title:
The influence of Madden-Julian Oscillation on the heavy rainfall process during flood season in Guangxi
作者:
覃卫坚1 李耀先2 陈思蓉1
1. 广西区气候中心, 广西 南宁 530022;
2. 广西区气象局, 广西 南宁 530022
Author(s):
Qin Weijian1 Li Yaoxian2 Chen Sirong1
1. Guangxi Climate Center, Nanning Guangxi 530022;
2. Guangxi Meteorological Bureau, Nanning Guangxi 530022
关键词:
MJO暴雨广西
Keywords:
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)rainstormGuangxi
分类号:
P46
摘要:
使用1978~2013年广西80个气象观测站的日降水资料、NOAA MJO指数逐候资料和OLR逐日资料,研究MJO活动对广西汛期强降水的影响,得到结果:当MJO对流所处各位相位于第1位相(80E)时,广西暴雨频数偏少;当MJO对流所处各位相位于第3位相(120E)时,广西暴雨频数偏多。广西降水与赤道MJO对流和中纬度季节内振荡有密切的关系,赤道地区MJO对流强度偏强,有向北传播时广西降水偏多,赤道地区MJO对流强度偏弱时广西降水偏少。
Abstract:
The influence of MJO on the heavy rainfall process during flood season in Guangxi was studied by using daily precipitation data from the 80 meteorological stations in Guangxi, NOAA MJO index pentad data, and OLR daily data from 1961~2013. The results showed that:when the MJO convection center was located in phase 1 (80E), the frequency of rainstorm in Guangxi decreased; but when the MJO-convection center was located in phase 3 (120E), the frequency of rainstorm increased. The precipitation in Guangxi was closely related to the equatorial MJO convection and the mid latitude intraseasonal oscillation. When the intensity of MJO convection in the equatorial region became stronger and moved toward the north, the precipitation in Guangxi increased; in other words, when the intensity of MJO convection in the equatorial region was weaker, the precipitation in Guangxi decreased.

参考文献/References:

[1] Wheeler M C,Hendon H H. An all seas on real time multivariate MJO index:development of an index for monitoring and prediction[J]. Mon. Wea. Rev.,2004,132(8):1917-1932.
[2] Jones C,Carvalho M V,Higgins R W,et al. A statistical forecast model of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies[J]. J. Climate,2004,17(11):2078-2094.
[3] 丁一汇,梁萍.基于MJO的延伸预报[J].气象,2010,36(7):111-122.
[4] 覃卫坚,周美丽,徐圣璇. 2013年影响广西热带气旋频数偏多的成因分析[J]. 气象,2016,42(6):709-715.
[5] 覃卫坚,李耀先,廖雪萍.MJO活动对广西6月阶段性降水的影响研究[J].气象研究与应用,2015,36(1):25-30.
[6] 覃卫坚,李耀先,廖雪萍,陈思蓉.大气低频振荡对广西持续性区域性暴雨的可能影响[J]. 气象研究与应用,2015,36(3):1-7.
[7] 杨宇红, 王庆国, 黄归兰, 等.引发南宁市内涝的暴雨及风场特征[J].气象研究与应用, 2007, 28(3):20-22.
[8] 阳擎,陈翠敏, 林开平. 南宁市暴雨时空分布特征[J].气象研究与应用, 2008,29(1):34-36.
[9] 黄归兰, 王庆国, 陆曼曼, 等.南宁市台风暴雨特征分析[J].气象研究与应用, 2009,30(3):33-36.
[10] 张洁婷,张薇. 2010年5月6-7日南宁市局地暴雨过程天气分析[J].气象研究与应用, 2011,32(A02):3-4.
[11] 梁玉莲, 黄丹萍, 黎美宏, 等.基于GIS的南宁市暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估与区划[J].气象科技, 2013,41(5):934-939.
[12] 黄莉雁, 刘鹏. 南宁市一次前汛期暖区暴雨的研究分析[J]. 南方农业, 2014,8(S1):91-92.
[13] 苏兆达, 白龙, 李广海. 南宁市一次暴雨过程分析[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2015,36(S1):83-85.
[14] 周绍毅,卢小凤,罗红磊. 南宁市短历时暴雨演变特征分析[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2016, 37(1), 64-67.
[15] 杨宇红, 马艺, 陆春菊. 南宁市强对流暴雨降水特征及成因初探[J].广西气象, 2003, 24(3):12-14.
[16] 周惠文, 黄归兰, 王庆国, 等. 南宁市热带气旋暴雨的统计特征分析[J].广西气象, 2006,27(S1):49-50.

相似文献/References:

[1]许霖,姚蓉,陈斗,等.湖南两次流域性致洪暴雨异同点分析[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(02):27.
[2]叶朗明,陈明惠,夏冠聪.华南一次特大暴雨诊断分析及数值模拟[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(03):20.
[3]杨新 柯文华 张小荣 任文斌 廖胜石.两次副高边缘特大暴雨对比分析[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(04):1.
[4]陈 冰,江满桃,郭潮升,等.化州暴雨气候特征分析及极端事件重现期计算[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(04):19.
[5]蒙炤臻,陈见,韩慎友,等.广西台风残涡暴雨发生特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(01):20.
 Characteristic Analysis on Rainstorms of Typhoon Remnant Vortexes in Guangxi[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(04):20.
[6]黄卓帆,黄冬梅,赖晟.河池市复杂地形的一次强降雨分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(01):50.
 Huang Zhuo-fan,Huang Dong-mei,Lai Sheng.Analysis of a Heavy Rainfall in Complex Terrain of Hechi City[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(04):50.
[7]林墨,林宗桂,廖雪萍,等.云系结构特征与降雨强度关系分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(03):36.
 Lin Mo,Lin Zong-gui,Liao Xue-ping,et al.Analysis of the relationship between the cloud structure and precipitation intensity[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(04):36.
[8]李渝平,王庆国,苏兆达.广西一次暴雨过程的数值预报产品位涡特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(03):38.
 Li Yu-ping,Wang Qing-guo,Su Zhao-da.Potential Vorticity Analysis of ECMWF Thin-grid Numerical Predication Products of a Rainstorm in Guangxi[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(04):38.
[9]刘桂华,李永荣,黄河,等.2015年5月桂北两次暴雨天气过程对比分析[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(01):38.
 Liu Gui-hua,Li Yong-rong,Huang He,et al.Comparative analysis on twice torrential rain weather processes in May 2015 of northern Guangxi[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(04):38.
[10]李岩,周文志,唐熠.桂林11月深秋极端天气分析与专业气象服务对策[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(01):52.
 Li yan,zhou wen-zhi,Tang Yi.Extreme weather analysis and meteorological service countermeasure for Guilin in November[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(04):52.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2017-05-06。
基金项目:广西自然科学基金(2013GXNSFAA019273),广西区气象局气象科研计划(桂气科2016Z04),广西延伸期气候预测创新团队项目共同资助
作者简介:覃卫坚(1971-),男,广西人,博士研究生,高级工程师,主要从事天气气候动力学研究,(E-mail)qinweijian2008@126.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01