[1]郭媛,卢炳夫,黄伊曼.基于雷电易发评价体系下的广西雷电区划[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(01):63-67.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.1.11]
 Guo Yuan,Lu Bingfu,Huang Yiman.Lightning division of Guangxi based on the evaluation system of lightning proneness[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2021,42(01):63-67.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.1.11]
点击复制

基于雷电易发评价体系下的广西雷电区划()
分享到:

气象研究与应用[ISSN:1673-8411/CN:45-1356/P]

卷:
第42卷
期数:
2021年01期
页码:
63-67
栏目:
研究论文
出版日期:
2021-03-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Lightning division of Guangxi based on the evaluation system of lightning proneness
作者:
郭媛1 卢炳夫1 黄伊曼2
1. 广西壮族自治区气象灾害防御技术中心, 南宁 530022;
2. 广西壮族自治区气象台, 南宁 530022
Author(s):
Guo Yuan1 Lu Bingfu1 Huang Yiman2
1. Guangxi Meteorological Disaster Prevention Technology Center, Nanning Guangxi 530022;
2. Guangxi Meteorological Observatory, Nanning Guangxi 530022
关键词:
雷电易发评价体系雷电灾害风险区划
Keywords:
lightning susceptibilityevaluation systemlightning disasterrisk zoning
分类号:
S429
DOI:
10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.1.11
摘要:
利用1960—2013年广西地面气象站观测雷暴资料、2009—2018年二维雷电监测定位资料和2016—2018年三维雷电定位监测资料,以闪电密度为评估要素,建立层次分析模型,绘制广西雷电易发区划图;并加载环境高程数据、2000—2019年雷灾数据以及2005年—2018年广西人口、GDP统计资料,计算雷电灾害风险值,绘制广西雷电灾害风险区划图。结果表明,广西雷电易发区划分为极高易发区、高易发区、中等易发区三个等级,其中以中等易发区为主,该区面积约占全区总面积的47%;极高易发区域主要分布在桂南、桂东南及桂东地区。广西雷电灾害风险划分为极高风险、高风险和中等风险三个等级,以中等风险为主,广西雷电灾害风险区划与雷电易发区域分布态势基本一致,等级变化趋势由沿海向内陆递减。
Abstract:
Using Guangxi ground weather station observational thunderstorm data from 1960 to 2013, two-dimensional lightning monitoring positioning data from 2009 to 2018,and three-dimensional lightning positioning monitoring data from 2016 to 2018,an analytic hierarchy process model was established with the lightning density as the evaluation element, and the lightning susceptibility zoning map of Guangxi was drawn. The results showed that the lightning-prone areas in Guangxi were divided into three levels:extremely high-prone areas, high-prone areas, and medium-prone areas. The medium-prone areas were the main areas, accounting for 47% of Guangxi; the extremely high-prone areas were mainly distributed in southern Guangxi, southeastern Guangxi and eastern Guangxi. Lightning disaster risk in Guangxi was divided into three grades:extremely high risk, high risk and medium risk. Most areas were medium risk. The lightning disaster risk zoning in Guangxi was basically consistent with the distribution of lightning-prone areas, and the grade change trend was decreasing from the coast to the inland.

参考文献/References:

[1] 吕海勇,庄燕洵,尹娜.广东省雷电灾害易损性分析与风险区划[J].广东气象,2016,38(2):50-53.
[2] 赵伟,杨续超,张斌.浙江省雷电灾害风险分析及区划[J].热带气象学报,2014,30(5):996-1000.
[3] 吕振东,李玉塔,王怀清.江西省雷电时空分布特征及其区域易损性分析[J].能源研究与管理,2016(1):51-57.
[4] 崔逊,庄燕洵,王洪生.基于组合评价法的江苏省雷电灾害风险区划[J].自然灾害学报,2015,24(6):187-194.
[5] 贺秋艳,祝燕德,郭在华,等.湖南省雷电灾害易损性分析及区划[J].成都信息工程学院学报,2011,26(1):98-102.
[6] 金晨路,肖稳安,王学良.湖北省雷电灾害易损性分析与区划[J].暴雨灾害,2011,30(3):272-276.
[7] 刘春泉,刘凯,厚学军,等.基于SPSS的宁夏雷电灾害特征分析和雷电灾害风险区划研究[J].宁夏农林科技,2015,56(1):65-68,70.
[8] 陈洁,苏炳彦.基于聚类法的陕西省雷电灾害风险区划[J].陕西气象,2015(S1):4-6.
[9] 冯桂力,陈文选,刘诗军,等.山东地区闪电的特征分析[J].应用气象学报,2002,13(3):347-355.
[10] 袁湘玲,王振会,肖稳安,等.雷电灾害潜在与现实易损性分析及区划研究——以黑龙江省为例[J].灾害学,2011,26(1):20-25.
[11] 卜俊伟.基于闪电定位资料的四川省雷电风险区划分析[J].高原山地气象研究,2014,34(2):87-90.
[12] 程向阳,谢五三.雷电灾害风险区划方法研究及其在安徽省的应用[J].气象科学,2012,32(1):80-85.
[13] 田艳婷,吴孟恒,史锋旗,等.河北省雷电灾害易损性综合评估与区划[J].气象科技,2012,40(3):507-512.
[14] 丁旻,甘文强,邵莉丽.贵州省雷电灾害易损性分析及区域划分[J].成都信息工程学院学报,2011,26(2):189-193.
[15] 郭林.基于主成分分析法的雷电灾害风险区划研究-以河南省为例[J].科技与创新,2016(19):5-7.
[16] Elsom D M. Deaths caused by lightning in England and Wales[J]. Weather,1993(48):83-90.
[17] Coates L,BlongR,Siciliano F. Lightning fatalities in Australia[J]. Natural Hazards,1993(8):217-233.
[18] Curran E B,Holle R L,Lopez R E. Lightning casualties and damages in the United States from 1959 to 1994[J]. Climate,2000(13):3448-3464.
[19] 陈渭民.电学原理[M].北京:气象出版社,2006:1-2.
[20] 高邁,蒙小亮,劳小青.基于聚类分析的海南岛雷电灾害易损度风险区划[J].自然灾害学报,2013,25(1):175-182.
[21] 程萌,王秀丽.基于闪电定位数据的鲁西南地区雷电灾害易损度区划[J].气象与环境科学,2017,32(4):47-51.
[22] 刘三梅,吕海勇,陈绍东,等.广东省雷电风险区划研究[J].资源科学,2014,36(11):2337-2344.
[23] 梁维亮,屈梅芳,赖珍权,等.广西雷暴天气预报指标研究[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(3):15-19.
[24] 郭媛,吴量,何宽,等.基于层次分析法的广西雷电灾害风险区划[J].气象研究与应用,2018,39(2):108-113.

相似文献/References:

[1]郑传新,陆虹,胡维,等.新形势下气象灾害应急管理能力评价方法及研究[J].气象研究与应用,2018,39(03):112.
 Zheng Chuanxin,Lu Hong,Hu Wei,et al.Evaluation method and research on meteorological disaster emergency management capability under the new situation[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2018,39(01):112.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2020-03-09。
基金项目:广西气象局气象科研计划面上项目(桂气科2019M03)
作者简介:郭媛(1984-),女,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事应用气象、雷电防御、专业服务等工作。E-mail:105453865@qq.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01