[1]张骥,刘艳群,朱学超,等.雷州半岛水分条件变化特征及其与作物布局调整的相关分析[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(02):35-40.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.2.07]
　Zhang Ji,Liu Yanqun,Zhu Xuechao,et al.Variation characteristics of water condition and its correlation with crop distribution adjustment in Leizhou Peninsul[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2021,42(02):35-40.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.2.07]
点击复制

雷州半岛水分条件变化特征及其与作物布局调整的相关分析()
分享到：

气象研究与应用[ISSN:1673-8411/CN:45-1356/P]

卷:
第42卷
期数:
2021年02期
页码:
35-40
栏目:
研究论文
出版日期:
2021-07-06

文章信息/Info

Title:
Variation characteristics of water condition and its correlation with crop distribution adjustment in Leizhou Peninsul
作者:
张骥1;  刘艳群2;  朱学超3;  张羽4;  植石群4;  于洲5
1. 鹤山市气象局, 广东 鹤山 529700;
2. 韶关市气象局, 广东 韶关 512026;
3. 临沂市气象局, 山东 临沂 276004;
4. 气候中心, 广州 510640;
5. 湛江市气象局, 广东 湛江 524000
Author(s):
Zhang Ji1;  Liu Yanqun2;  Zhu Xuechao3;  Zhang Yu4;  Zhi Shiqun4;  Yu Zhou5
1. Heshan Meteorological Bureau, Heshan Guangdong 529700;
2. Shaoguan Meteorological Bureau, Shaoguan Gangdong 512026;
3. Linyi Meteorological Bureau, Linyi Shandong 276004;
4. Guangdong Climate Center, Guangzhou 510640;
5. Zhanjiang Meteorological Bureau, Zhanjiang Guangdong 524000
关键词:
雷州半岛; 降水; 蒸发; 作物布局; 相关性
Keywords:
Leizhou Peninsula; precipitation; evaporation; crop layout; relevance
分类号:
P412.13
DOI:
10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.2.07
摘要:
基于雷州半岛气象资料和主要农作物种植面积数据，利用气候倾向率、Mann-Kendall气候突变检验、相关分析、11种模型拟合和回归分析等方法，分析雷州半岛降水和蒸发量的气候变化特点，研究降水和蒸发与雷州半岛作物布局调整变化的相关关系。结果表明，1961年至2001年雷州半岛总体南旱北涝，年降水日数和年降水量均北多南少并且先增后减。年蒸发量南多北少并且呈显著下降趋势。年降水日数与水稻面积显著正相关，与蔬菜、水果、糖蔗面积显著负相关。蒸发量与糖蔗、蔬菜、水果面积显著负相关。
Abstract:
Based on meteorological data and main crop planting area data, the climate change characteristics of precipitation and evaporation in Leizhou Peninsula were analyzed by means of climate tendency rate, MK climate mutation test, correlation analysis, 11 model fitting and regression analysis. The response law of precipitation and evaporation to crop layout adjustment in Leizhou Peninsula was studied. The results showed that from 1961 to 2001, the south of Leizhou Peninsula was generally dry and the North was waterlogged, and the annual precipitation days and annual precipitation were more in the north than in the south, and both of them increased first and then decreased. The annual evaporation was more in the south than in the north, and showed a significant downward trend. The number of annual precipitation days was significantly positively correlated with the area of rice, and negatively correlated with the area of vegetables, fruits, and sugarcane. Evaporation was significantly negatively correlated with the area of sugarcane, vegetables, and fruits.

参考文献/References:

[1] 李爱贞,刘厚凤,张桂芹.气候系统变化与人类活动[M].北京:气象出版社,2003:14-15,21.
[2] 郭晓峰,康凌,蔡旭晖,等.华南农田下垫面地气交换和能量收支的观测研究[J].大气科学,2006,30(3):453-463.
[3] 黄维,吴炫柯,刘永裕,等.气候变化对广西双季稻种植布局的影响[J].中国农业气象,2020,41(9):539-551.
[4] 吴乾慧,张勃,马彬,等.气候变暖对黄土高原冬小麦种植区的影响[J].生态环境学报,2017,26(3):429-436.
[5] 浦吉存,黄中艳,高敏.云南气候特征与主要经济作物种植适宜性的关系[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(1):53-57.
[6] 黄杰.气候变化对中国油菜生产布局的影响研究[D].湖北:华中农业大学,2019.
[7] 秘鲁.植被绿化对北半球中高纬度干旱半干旱区温度变化的影响[D].甘萧:兰州大学,2020.
[8] 陈怀亮.黄淮海地区植被覆盖变化及其对气候与水资源影响研究[D].南京:南京信息工程大学,2007.
[9] 吴明心,郭松平.辽西地区森林植被的恢复对降水影响[J].农业气象,1985(4):55-57,31.
[10] 范广洲,吕世华.陆面植被类型对华北地区夏季降水影响的数值模拟研究[J].高原气象,1999(4):649-658.
[11] 张少波,陈玉春,吕世华,等.青藏高原植被变化对中国东部夏季降水影响的模拟研究[J].高原气象,2013,32(5):1236-1245.
[12] 郭建侠,杜继稳,郑有飞.陕北生态治理对当地降水影响的数值模拟[J].高原气象,2005(6):994-1001.
[13] 杨凯,唐敏,周丽英.上海近30年来蒸发变化及其城郊差异分析[J].地理科学,2004,24(5):557-561.
[14] 王建英,王克勤.元谋干热河谷植被恢复中水平阶整地对土壤蒸发的影响[J].水土保持研究,2006(2):10-13.
[15] 朱晗晖,张宇,沈晓燕,等.农牧交错带植被演变对区域气候影响的模拟[J].高原气象,2018,37(3):721-733.
[16] 陈海山,李兴,华文剑.近20年中国土地利用变化影响区域气候的数值模拟[J].大气科学,2015,39(2):357-369.
[17] 刘冠州.陆面植被参数对中国区域气候模拟的影响[D].南京:南京信息工程大学,2019.
[18] 吕世华,陈玉春.西北植被覆盖对我国区域气候变化影响的数值模拟[J].高原气象,1999(3):416-424.
[19] 植石群,刘爱君,周世怀.雷州半岛气候资源特征与农业发展对策[J].中国生态农业学报,2003(4):174-175.
[20] 黄晓梅,简茂球,刘桂兴.雷州半岛干旱的特征及其环流分析[J].广东气象,2013,35(3):20-24.
[21] 任启伟,李鑫华,尹小玲,等.广东省干旱灾害识别及变化趋势[J].热带地理,2017,37(4):494-500.
[22] 张得胜,江涛,黎坤,等.基于Copula函数的雷州半岛气象干旱风险分析[J].人民珠江,2019,40(9):110-120.
[23] 张羽,牛生杰.雷州半岛雷暴发生频次变化特征及其与作物布局调整的相关分析[J].热带气象学报,2008,24(6):649-657.

相似文献/References:

[1]林宗桂,林 墨,林开平,等.一类降水过程多尺度天气系统结构特征[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(03):1.
[2]谭敏玲,何如,罗红磊.近55年广西融水县降水气候特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(03):27.
[3]陈锐,曹树荣,陆金凤,等.降水对接地电阻的影响[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(04):117.
[4]陈伟斌,韩慎友,刘国忠.欧洲集合预报产品降水预报检验分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(02):6.
　Chen Weibin,Han Shenyou,Liu Guozhong.Analysis on ensemble prediction products of the rainfall forecast verification[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):6.
[5]周慧僚,罗凤荣,莫惠晴.天峨县近30a降水与气温的气候特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(02):38.
　Zhou Huiliao,Luo Fengrong,Mo Hui qing.Analysis on climatic characteristics of precipitation and temperature past 30a in Tiane[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):38.
[6]李妍君,陈耀登.台风“凡亚比”的诊断分析和数值模拟研究[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(03):1.
　Li Yan-jun,Chen Yao-deng.Typhoon “Fanapi” diagnostic analysis and numerical simulation research[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):1.
[7]陆虹,覃卫坚,李艳兰,等.近40年广西石漠化地区气候变化特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2015,36(01):6.
　LU Hong,QIN Weijian,LI Yanlan,et al.Analysis on Climate Variation Characteristics of Rocky Desertification Region of Guangxi in Recent 40 years[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2015,36(02):6.
[8]符晓虹,郑育群,羊清雯.天气系统与海南降水的关系研究[J].气象研究与应用,2015,36(01):10.
　Fu Xiaohong,Zheng Yuqun,Yang Qingwen.Relationship between the precipitation and weather systems in Hainan[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2015,36(02):10.
[9]陆甲,廖雪萍,李耀先.广西农业旱灾对气温降水的响应特征[J].气象研究与应用,2015,36(02):66.
　Lu Jia,Liao Xue-ping,Li Yao-xian.The Characteristics of the Agricultural Drought Response to precipitation and temperature in Guangxi[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2015,36(02):66.
[10]高宪权,莫丽霞.气候变化背景下桂东地区旱涝变化特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2018,39(01):18.
　Gao Xianquan,Mo Lixia.Analysis of drought and flood characteristics of eastern Guangxi under the background of climate change[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2018,39(02):18.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2021-02-26。
基金项目:广东省自然科学基金-重大基础研究培育项目（2015A030308014）、广东省促进经济高质量发展专项资金海洋经济发展项目（GDOE[2019]A11）
作者简介:张骥(1993-),男,学士,助理工程师,主要从事应用气象工作。E-mail:2497409093@qq.com
通讯作者:刘艳群(1974-),女,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事天气预报和应用气象工作。E-mail:596120124@qq.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01