[1]唐文,刘国忠,覃月凤,等.台风“暹芭”引发广西极端强降水成因分析[J].气象研究与应用,2024,45(02):126-133.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2024.2.21]
　TANG Wen,LIU Guozhong,QIN Yuefeng,et al.Analysis of the causes of extreme rainfall in Guangxi caused by typhoon“CHABA”[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2024,45(02):126-133.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2024.2.21]
点击复制

台风“暹芭”引发广西极端强降水成因分析()
分享到：

气象研究与应用[ISSN:1673-8411/CN:45-1356/P]

卷:
第45卷
期数:
2024年02期
页码:
126-133
栏目:
技术总结
出版日期:
2024-06-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
Analysis of the causes of extreme rainfall in Guangxi caused by typhoon“CHABA”
作者:
唐文;  刘国忠;  覃月凤;  梁存桂;  苏洵
广西壮族自治区气象台 南宁 530022
Author(s):
TANG Wen;  LIU Guozhong;  QIN Yuefeng;  LIANG Cungui;  SU Xun
Guangxi Meteorological Observatory, Nanning 530022, China
关键词:
台风; 极端暴雨; 极端短时强降水; 中尺度对流系统
Keywords:
typhoon; extreme rainfall; extreme short-term rainfall; mesoscale convective systems
分类号:
P429
DOI:
10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2024.2.21
摘要:
利用多源气象资料，对 2022年第3号台风“暹芭”影响广西极端强降水成因进行分析。结果表明：（1）台风“暹芭”影响广西降雨具有累计雨量及日雨量大、范围广，短时强降水范围广、强度强、维持时间长及极端性强、灾害重等特征。（2）台风“暹芭”登陆及进入广西强度强，在广西停留时间长，自南向北贯穿广西东部的罕见路径是导致降水极端的主要原因。台风本体和季风卷入给强降雨区提供丰沛的水汽和能量，本体环流、低空急流风速辐合、海陆差异、地形抬升、地面和边界层明显中尺度辐合线共同作用形成的强烈上升运动是产生极端强降水的动力机制。（3）台风云系内存在明显中尺度对流系统 MCS活动，形成超级单体风暴，是强降雨产生的直接原因。暖云层深厚，强雷达反射率位于 5 km以下，直径大且密集降水粒子形成高的降水效率，是产生短时强降水的重要因素。（4）业务预报中，加强分析多途径的水汽来源、各种天气系统特别是中小尺度天气系统对台风降水的增幅作用，是台风极端强降水预报着眼点。
Abstract:
By using multi-source meteorological data，the causes of extreme rainfall in Guangxi affected by typhoon“CHABA”in 2022 were analyzed. The results showed that: (1) the rainfall in Guangxi under the influence of Typhoon“CHABA”was characterized by large and wide range cumulative rainfall and daily rainfall，extensive and intense of short-term heavy precipitation with a long duration，strong extremes and heavy disasters. (2) Typhoon“CHABA”had made landfall and entered Guangxi with strong intensity，staying in Guangxi for a long time，with a rare track across the eastern part of Guangxi on a south-to-north direction， which was the main reason for the extreme precipitation. The typhoon itself and the monsoon entrainment provided abundant water vapor and energy sources for the heavy rainfall area. The strong upward movement formed by the combination of the body circulation，the wind speed convergence of the low-level southwesterly jets，the sea-land difference，the topographic uplift，and the obvious mesoscale convergence lines both on the ground and in the boundary layer were the physical mechanism for the generation of extreme rainfall. (3) There were obvious mesoscale convective system MCS activities within the typhoon cloud system，forming supercell storms，which was the direct cause of heavy rainfall. The thick warm clouds，strong radar reflectivity located below 5 km，large diameter and dense precipitation particles form high precipitation efficiency，which was an important factor in generating short-term heavy precipitation. (4) In operational forecasting，it is of great significance to strengthen the analysis of multi-channel water vapor sources and the increasing effect of various weather systems，especially small-and medium-sized weather systems，on the precipitation of typhoons，which is the focus of the extreme precipitation forecasting of typhoons.

参考文献/References:

[1] 任福民,杨慧. 1949年以来我国台风暴雨及其预报研究回顾与展望[J].暴雨灾害,2019. 38(5):526-540.
[2] 张庆池,吕翔,刘子贺,等,登陆台风不同强度降水的雨滴谱特征对比[J].气象,2022,48(12):1617-1628.
[3] 钮学新,杜惠良,滕代高,等.影响登陆台风降水量的主要因素分析[J].暴雨灾害,2010,29(1):76-80.
[4] 朱红芳,王东勇,娄珊珊,等.地形对台风"海葵"降水增幅影响的研究[J].暴雨灾害,2015,34(2):160-167.
[5] 蒙熠臻,陈见,韩慎友,等.广西台风残涡暴雨发生特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(1):20-25.
[6] 陆芊芊,黄卓.广西台风与非台风暴雨时空变化特征差异分析[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(3):12-17.
[7] 郑凤琴,王盛繁,赵金彪,等.广西台风极端强降水特征及环境参数异常性分析[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(4):07-13.
[8] 高安宁,李菁,陈见,等.台风"威马逊"近海加强及引发广西异常暴雨分析[J].气象科技,2016,44(4):653-659.
[9] 李菁,祁丽燕.不同路径进入广西内陆台风气候特征分析[J].灾害学,2015,30(2):115-119.
[10] 覃武,赵金彪,黄荣成,等.台风"山竹"登陆结构变化及造成广西强降水异常分布的成因分析[J].热带气象学报,2019,35(5):587-595.
[11] 马涛,胡勇,杨琳晗,等.三个登陆台风造成云南灾害的天气成因研究[J].灾害学,2020,35(4):113-120.
[12] 韩鹏,郭桂祯,孙宁,等.广东省台风灾害时空格局及影响因素研究[J].灾害学,2022,37(3):112-117.
[13] 张丽杰,刘建成,朱慧云.影响海南岛的台风的时空特征分析[J].灾害学,2019,34(1):135-138.
[14] 廖胜石,卓健,罗建英,等.广西汛期极端短时强降水特征分析[J].暴雨灾害,2022,41(3):308-314.
[15] 卢伟萍,王建东,孙靖雯.基于自动气象观测站的广西短时强降水时空分布特征[J].气象研究与应用,2022, 43(4):91-97.
[16] 赵琳娜,白雪梅,邢程,等.中国东南地区夏季台风小时降水概率分布特征[J].暴雨灾害,2017,36(2):97-107.
[17] 蔡晶,李怀宇,钱嘉星,等.广东短时强降水的时空分布特征[J].广东气象,2019,41(6):5-9.
[18] 黄铃光,黄慧琳.福建省短时强降水分布特征及暴雨预警指标分析[J].海峡科技,2021(9):11-15.
[19] 肖蕾,杜小玲,武正敏,等.贵州省短时强降水时空分布特征分析[J].暴雨灾害,2021,40(4):383-392.
[20] 姚蓉,唐佳,王晓雷,等.湖南短时强降水时空分布及相关环境参数统计分析[J].灾害学,2020,35(2):116-121.
[21] 朱莉,王治国,李华宏,等.西行台风背景下云南一次短时强降水过程的成因分析[J].热带气象学报,2020,36(6):744-758.
[22] 夏茹娣,赵思雄.2005年6月广东锋前暖区暴雨β中尺度系统特征的诊断与模拟研究[J].大气科学,2009,33(3):468-488.
[23] 孙婧,王建捷.北京地区一次引发强降水的中尺度对流系统的组织发展特征及成因探讨[J].气象,2010,36(12):19-27.
[24] 赵海军,李柏,潘玲,等.暴雨过程中逆风区特征及应用判据研究[J].海洋气象学报,2019,36(2):126-133.

相似文献/References:

[1]赖珍权,翟丽萍,古文保.1415号台风“海鸥”的卫星云图及雷达资料分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(02):10.
　Lai Zhenquan,Zhai Liping,Gu Wenbao.Analysis of typhoon Kalmaegi(1415) based on satellite images and radar data[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):10.
[2]麦雪湖,植江玲,麦文强.台风“彩虹”(1522)的数值模拟及增强条件分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(01):30.
　Mai Xue-hu,Zhi Jiang-ling,Mai Wen-qiang.Analysis on the numerical simulation and enhancing conditions of typhoon “Mujigea”[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):30.
[3]黄卓,廖雪萍.2016年台风“莎莉嘉”对广西的影响评估[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(01):40.
　Huang Zhuo,Liao Xue-ping.Impact assessment of typhoon “Sarika” on Guangxi in 2016[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):40.
[4]李妍君,陈耀登.台风“凡亚比”的诊断分析和数值模拟研究[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(03):1.
　Li Yan-jun,Chen Yao-deng.Typhoon “Fanapi” diagnostic analysis and numerical simulation research[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):1.
[5]钟利华,李仲怡,李勇,等.西江流域台风暴雨面雨量分布特征及天气概念模型[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(03):13.
　Zhong Li-hua,Li Zhong-yi,Li Yong,et al.Areal rainfall distribution characteristics of typhoon torrential rain and weather concept model of Xijiang basin[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):13.
[6]郑志阳,杨苏勤,刘德和,等.影响福建省惠安县台风气候特征及其不同路径的风雨影响[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(01):34.
　Zheng Zhiyang,Yang Suqin,Liu Dehe,et al.Influence of fujian province huian typhoon climate characteristics and the effect of different paths[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(02):34.
[7]刘远方.台风“海鸥”影响南宁机场强降水过程分析[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(01):56.
　Liu yuan-fang.The analysis of heavy rainfall process during Nanning airport affected by typhoon “kalmaegi”[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(02):56.
[8]周渭,蒋平凡,黎馨.2015台风“彩虹”强降雨过程分析[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(02):16.
　Zhou Wei,Jiang Ping-fan,Li Xin.Analysis of strong rainfall caused by Typhoon “Mujigae” in 2015[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(02):16.
[9]刘英轶,陈婉华,郭晓薇.做好专业天气网站台风气象服务的几点思考[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(04):107.
　Liu Yingyi,Chen Wanhua,Guo Xiaowei.Thoughts on improving typhoon weather service on professional weather website[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(02):107.
[10]黄荣,黄晴,屈梅芳,等.1713号台风“天鸽”外围龙卷特征及成因分析[J].气象研究与应用,2018,39(01):28.
　Huang Rong,Huang Qing,Qu Meifang,et al.Analysis of the characteristics and causes of the peripheral tornado of NO.1713 Typhoon Hato[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2018,39(02):28.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2023-11-2。
基金项目:广西自然科学基金项目（2024GXNSFAA010352）、中国气象局气象能力提升联合研究专项（22NLTSY011）、广西气象科研计划项目（桂气科2024M01）
作者简介:唐文（1982-），高级工程师，主要从事中短期天气预报和灾害性天气预报技术研究。E-mail：94095732@qq.com
通讯作者:刘国忠（1968-），正高级工程师，主要从事天气预报业务及研究。E-mail：baiselgz@sina.com
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01