[1]欧坚莲,黄帆,欧欣格,等.梧州市强对流天气潜势预报探讨[J].气象研究与应用,2018,39(04):14-17.
 Ou Jianlian,Huang Fan,Ou Xinge,et al.Discussion on Intense Convective Weather Potential Prediction in Wuzhou[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2018,39(04):14-17.
点击复制

梧州市强对流天气潜势预报探讨()
分享到:

气象研究与应用[ISSN:1673-8411/CN:45-1356/P]

卷:
第39卷
期数:
2018年04期
页码:
14-17
栏目:
天气气候
出版日期:
2018-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Discussion on Intense Convective Weather Potential Prediction in Wuzhou
作者:
欧坚莲1 黄帆1 欧欣格2 孙小龙1 陈飞盛1
1. 广西梧州市气象局, 广西 梧州 543002;
2. 广西贺州市气象局, 广西 贺州 542800
Author(s):
Ou Jianlian1 Huang Fan1 Ou Xinge2 Sun Xiaolong1 Chen Feisheng1
1. Wuzhou Meteorological Service, Wuzhou Guangxi 543002;
2. Hezhou Meteorological Service, Hezhou Guangxi 542800
关键词:
强对流天气统计分析潜势预报梧州市
Keywords:
severe convective weatherstatistical analysispotential forecastWuzhou City
分类号:
P466
摘要:
通过对2005~2016年梧州市强对流天气个例进行分类,统计分析各类强对流天气的主要影响天气系统,并使用MICAPS软件计算统计各类强对流天气物理量参数值,总结出一些物理量参数值在各类强对流天气的分布区间,确定强对流天气类型判断阈值,为梧州市强对流天气的预报预警提供参考。
Abstract:
Classifying the cases of severe convective weather in Wuzhou from 2005 to 2016, this paper made a statistical analysis of the main weather systems affecting severe convective weather. In addition, using MICAPS to calculate and count the physical parameters of severe convective weather, and the distribution range of which were summarized for ensuring the judgment threshold of severe convective weather types, so that a reference for the forecast and early warning of severe convective weather in Wuzhou can be provided.

参考文献/References:

[1] 魏东, 孙继松, 雷蕾, 等. 三种探空资料在各类强对流天气中的应用对比分析[J]. 气象, 2011, 37(4):412-422.
[2] 孙继松, 陶祖钰. 强对流天气分析与预报中的若干基本问题[J]. 气象, 2012, 38(2):164-173.
[3] 庞古乾, 伍志方, 叶爱芬. 珠三角地区前后汛期强对流过程物理量指数对比分析及阈值选取[J]. 热带气象学报, 2012, 28(6):919-923.
[4] 何立富, 周庆亮, 谌芸, 等. 国家级强对流潜势预报业务进展与检验评估[J]. 气象, 2011, 37(7):777-784.
[5] 林开平, 李凌. "94.12" 广西大范围暴雨过程的物理量特征分析[J]. 气象研究与应用, 1998, 19(2):11-13.
[6] 曾小团, 农孟松, 赵金彪. 广西几次不同类型天气系统造成暴雨过程的物理量分析[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2007, 28(4):1-4.
[7] 姚胜芳, 黄治逢, 农孟松, 等. 广西冰雹气候统计分析及减灾对策[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2007, 28(4):22-25.
[8] 钟利华,李勇,高安宁, 等. 广西雷击、冰雹环流特征及预报系统建设[J]. 广西气象, 2004, 25(3):8-15.
[9] 杨思施, 黄开刚, 刘国忠. 2013.3.23百色市致灾冰雹天气过程成因分析[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2015, 36(2):43-46.

相似文献/References:

[1]杨玉静,杨志华,农国傲,等.桂平市20年大风天气气候统计分析[J].气象研究与应用,2017,38(01):47.
 Yang Yu-jing,Yang Zhi-hua,Nong Guo-ao,et al.Statistical Analysis of Gale Weather and Climate in Guiping City during Recent 20 Years[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2017,38(04):47.
[2]罗思泽,黄庆国,杨兰,等.梧州前汛期强对流天气多普勒雷达特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(04):18.
 Luo Si-ze,Huang Qing-guo,Yang Lan,et al.Characteristic analysis on doppler radar of strong convective weather in pre-rainy season of Wuzhou[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(04):18.
[3]罗思泽,黄庆国,杨兰,等.梧州前汛期强对流天气气候统计特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2016,37(03):20.
 Luo Si-ze,Huang Qing-guo,Yang Lan,et al.Cliamtic characteristic analysis on severe sonvection weather in the annually first raining season of Wuzhou[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2016,37(04):20.
[4]刘国忠,周云霞,覃月凤,等.2020年广西暴雨灾害天气综述与分析[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(01):101.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.1.18]
 Liu Guozhong,Zhou Yunxia,Qin Yuefeng,et al.Summary and analysis of Guangxi rainstorm disaster weather in 2020[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2021,42(04):101.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.1.18]
[5]廖梦祺,黄磊.基层气象行政执法管理现状的统计分析[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(02):115.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.2.22]
 Liao Mengqi,Huang Lei.Statistical analysis of the current management situation of administrative law enforcement in grassroots meteorological departments[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2021,42(04):115.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.2.22]
[6]王蕾,廖雪萍,罗桂湘,等.2014—2018年大气科学类核心期刊文献计量指标分析[J].气象研究与应用,2021,42(03):37.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.3.07]
 Wang Lei,Liao Xueping,Luo Guixiang,et al.Bibliometric index analysis of core journals of atmospheric science from 2014 to 2018[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2021,42(04):37.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2021.3.07]
[7]蒋亚平,农明哲,马智,等.2021年5月桂西南一次混合强对流天气过程诊断分析[J].气象研究与应用,2022,43(03):88.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2022.3.16]
 Jiang Yaping,Nong Mingzhe,Ma Zhi,et al.Diagnostic analysis of a mixed severe convective weather process in Southwest Guangxi in May 2021[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2022,43(04):88.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2022.3.16]
[8]张小琼,梁苑苑,邓力涌.基于天镜的气象信息服务管理系统设计与实现[J].气象研究与应用,2023,44(02):98.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2023.2.17]
 Zhang Xiaoqiong,Liang Yuanyuan,Deng Liyong.Design and implementation of meteorological information service management system based on "TianJing"[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2023,44(04):98.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2023.2.17]
[9]刘国忠,覃卫坚,董良淼,等.2023年广西暴雨强度极端性分析[J].气象研究与应用,2023,44(04):1.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2023.4.01]
 LIU Guozhong,QIN Weijian,DONG Liangmiao,et al.Analysis on the intensity of extreme rainstorm in Guangxi in 2023[J].Journal of Meteorological Research and Application,2023,44(04):1.[doi:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2023.4.01]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2018-05-21。
基金项目:梧州市强对流天气的短期潜势预报指标研究(项目编号:梧气科2016004)。
作者简介:欧坚莲(1968-),女,汉族,广西岑溪市人,大学本科,高级工程师,主要从事天气预报研究。
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01